Monday 6 April 2020
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business-standard - 11 days ago

Extending closures in Wuhan may prevent second wave of COVID-19: Study

Extending school and workplace closures till April, rather than March in the epicentre of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Chinese city of Wuhan, can likely delay a second wave of cases until later in the year, relieving pressure on health services, according to a new study. The research, published inThe Lancet Public Healthjournal, says the closure of schools and workplaces in Wuhan have reduced the number of COVID-19 cases and substantially delayed the epidemic peak -- giving the health system the time and opportunity to expand and respond. In the study, researchers, including those fromthe London School of Hygiene Tropical Medicine in the UK, used mathematical modelling to estimate that by lifting these control measures in March, a second wave of cases may occur in late August. However, they said,maintaining these restrictions until April, may delay a second peak until October, relieving pressure on the health services in the intervening months. The scientists also said given the ..

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